Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.473656 0.555946 0.646225 0.752342 0.873367 1.006795 1.164722
2024-11-03 0.353721 0.464810 0.598669 0.770585 0.984129 1.239167 1.565162
2024-11-10 0.273713 0.396798 0.557524 0.779841 1.075959 1.452996 1.964900
2024-11-17 0.217466 0.344097 0.521568 0.783251 1.152992 1.649463 2.357583
2024-11-24 0.179565 0.307385 0.498128 0.795515 1.237530 1.858308 2.780890
2024-12-01 0.148755 0.274136 0.472453 0.797795 1.303886 2.043550 3.183195
2024-12-08 0.118996 0.236025 0.432064 0.769970 1.319037 2.152353 3.480425
2024-12-15 0.105022 0.221868 0.427372 0.796571 1.418526 2.392051 3.986689
2024-12-22 0.092334 0.207366 0.419372 0.815520 1.505862 2.617898 4.486074
2024-12-29 0.085709 0.203138 0.428580 0.864371 1.646099 2.936353 5.150569
2025-01-05 0.073576 0.185263 0.409658 0.859948 1.693616 3.106324 5.586849
2025-01-12 0.062883 0.168198 0.389523 0.850185 1.729543 3.257851 6.000617
2025-01-19 0.053758 0.152994 0.371307 0.842720 1.770450 3.423650 6.454894
2025-01-26 0.047933 0.144409 0.365656 0.859462 1.858012 3.677189 7.076262
2025-02-02 0.042300 0.135035 0.356802 0.868369 1.930998 3.909422 7.674776
2025-02-09 0.037077 0.125502 0.346024 0.871639 1.992679 4.124605 8.255379
2025-02-16 0.033148 0.118601 0.340267 0.884923 2.075205 4.383214 8.928677
2025-02-23 0.029157 0.110517 0.330303 0.887359 2.135133 4.602389 9.541477
2025-03-02 0.024217 0.098150 0.307396 0.856795 2.122117 4.679474 9.892953
2025-03-09 0.022436 0.095526 0.309542 0.885982 2.240329 5.020694 10.762475
2025-03-16 0.020504 0.091887 0.308349 0.906769 2.341506 5.333710 11.593753
2025-03-23 0.019866 0.092711 0.319762 0.960340 2.520449 5.813963 12.773576
2025-03-30 0.017418 0.086142 0.308869 0.955491 2.565303 6.021861 13.428035